I’ve been looking over Mike Hoerger’s Pandemic Mitigation Collaborative - Data Tracker which estimates and projects daily new COVID cases in the US based on wastewater levels. I think it’s pretty accessible and makes it more obvious how risky it actually is out there.
From the 2023-12-04 report, we’re at an estimated 1.2 million new cases per day. About 1 in 38 people are infectious. In a group of 10 people, there’s a 23% chance anyone is infectious. This is more transmission than during 88.9% of the pandemic. The data tracker link above has a video where he explains the methodology for these numbers.
Wastewater levels are rising as we head into yet another winter surge even earlier this year. Let’s keep each other safe out there by wearing well-fitting respirators, filtering the air, improving ventilation, and staying up to date with our vaccines. 😷💚
Image from: Hoerger, M. (2023, December 4). U.S. SARS-CoV-2 wastewater levels, COVID-19 case estimates, and 4-week forecast: Report for December 4, 2023. Pandemic Mitigation Collaborative. https://www.pmc19.com/data
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"text": "I\u2019ve been looking over Mike Hoerger\u2019s Pandemic Mitigation Collaborative - Data Tracker which estimates and projects daily new COVID cases in the US based on wastewater levels. I think it\u2019s pretty accessible and makes it more obvious how risky it actually is out there.\n\nFrom the 2023-12-04 report, we\u2019re at an estimated 1.2 million new cases per day. About 1 in 38 people are infectious. In a group of 10 people, there\u2019s a 23% chance anyone is infectious. This is more transmission than during 88.9% of the pandemic. The data tracker link above has a video where he explains the methodology for these numbers.\n\nWastewater levels are rising as we head into yet another winter surge even earlier this year. Let\u2019s keep each other safe out there by wearing well-fitting respirators, filtering the air, improving ventilation, and staying up to date with our vaccines. \ud83d\ude37\ud83d\udc9a\n\n\n\nImage from: Hoerger, M. (2023, December 4). U.S. SARS-CoV-2 wastewater levels, COVID-19 case estimates, and 4-week forecast: Report for December 4, 2023. Pandemic Mitigation Collaborative. https://www.pmc19.com/data",
"html": "<p>I\u2019ve been looking over Mike Hoerger\u2019s <a href=\"https://www.pmc19.com/data/index.php\">Pandemic Mitigation Collaborative - Data Tracker</a> which estimates and projects daily new COVID cases in the US based on wastewater levels. I think it\u2019s pretty accessible and makes it more obvious how risky it actually is out there.</p>\n\n<p>From the <a href=\"https://www.pmc19.com/data/PMC_Report_Dec4_2023.pdf\">2023-12-04 report</a>, we\u2019re at an estimated 1.2 million new cases per day. About 1 in 38 people are infectious. In a group of 10 people, there\u2019s a 23% chance anyone is infectious. This is more transmission than during 88.9% of the pandemic. The data tracker link above has a video where he explains the methodology for these numbers.</p>\n\n<p>Wastewater levels are rising as we head into yet another winter surge even earlier this year. Let\u2019s keep each other safe out there by wearing well-fitting respirators, filtering the air, improving ventilation, and staying up to date with our vaccines. \ud83d\ude37\ud83d\udc9a</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://gregorlove.com/site/assets/files/6639/forecast120423.png\" title=\"Click to view full size\"></a>\n\n<p>Image from: Hoerger, M. (2023, December 4). U.S. SARS-CoV-2 wastewater levels, COVID-19 case estimates, and 4-week forecast: Report for December 4, 2023. Pandemic Mitigation Collaborative. <a href=\"https://www.pmc19.com/data\">https://www.pmc19.com/data</a></p>"
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"url": "https://beesbuzz.biz/blog/6479-Baby-Its-Cold-Outside",
"name": "Baby, It\u2019s Cold Outside",
"content": {
"text": "It\u2019s December, when people start on the Baby, It\u2019s Cold Outside discourse again.The song was written in a different era when different idioms were in place. It is not a song about aggressive sexual advances (much less date rape!), it\u2019s a song about an unmarried couple trying to come up with excuses to spend the night together, in a society where that was extremely frowned upon.There\u2019s a pretty good explanation of it by Pessoa on Genius Lyrics:\n\nIn a modern climate, these lines are often seen as Marilyn catching Dean putting a roofie in her drink, followed by simpler date-sexual assault. Dean also defends that his feelings are ostensibly more meaningful than Marilyn\u2019s.\nWhen the song was written in 1944, it was seen as scandalous for women to stay the night with someone who wasn\u2019t their husband. As seen earlier (and later) in the song, the girl has a strong desire to stay with the man, regardless of the social norm\u2014not to mention there\u2019s a strong blizzard outside.\nThe line \u201cSay, what\u2019s in this drink?\u201d was a common phrase women would use as a way to attribute their deviance to a strong drink. The phrase was originally a nod to the idea that alcohol is \u201cmaking\u201d them do something unusual when there is actually nothing in the drink\u2014the drink is to blame. In Frank Loesser\u2019s original version, the girl pretends to resist his advancements so she can tell others it wasn\u2019t her fault for deviating from the then-current societal expectations.\n\nThere\u2019s also a pretty good discussion about this song in Rolling Stone Magazine.Also the song was originally written by Frank Loesser to have something he and his wife could sing to their party guests when it was time for them to go the fuck home.",
"html": "<p>It\u2019s December, when people start on the Baby, It\u2019s Cold Outside discourse again.</p><p>The song was written in a different era when different idioms were in place. It is not a song about aggressive sexual advances (much less date rape!), it\u2019s a song about an unmarried couple trying to come up with excuses to spend the night together, in a society where that was extremely frowned upon.</p><p>There\u2019s a pretty good explanation of it by <a href=\"https://genius.com/15926215?\">Pessoa on Genius Lyrics</a>:</p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>In a modern climate, these lines are often seen as Marilyn catching Dean putting a roofie in her drink, followed by simpler date-sexual assault. Dean also defends that his feelings are ostensibly more meaningful than Marilyn\u2019s.</p>\n<p>When the song was written in 1944, it was seen as scandalous for women to stay the night with someone who wasn\u2019t their husband. As seen earlier (and later) in the song, the girl has a strong desire to stay with the man, regardless of the social norm\u2014not to mention there\u2019s a strong blizzard outside.</p>\n<p>The line \u201cSay, what\u2019s in this drink?\u201d was a common phrase women would use as a way to attribute their deviance to a strong drink. The phrase was originally a nod to the idea that alcohol is \u201cmaking\u201d them do something unusual when there is actually nothing in the drink\u2014the drink is to blame. In Frank Loesser\u2019s original version, the girl pretends to resist his advancements so she can tell others it wasn\u2019t her fault for deviating from the then-current societal expectations.</p>\n</blockquote>\n<p>There\u2019s also a pretty good discussion about this song <a href=\"https://www.rollingstone.com/feature/baby-its-cold-outside-controversy-holiday-song-history-768183/\">in Rolling Stone Magazine</a>.</p><p>Also the song was originally written by Frank Loesser to have something he and his wife could sing to their party guests when it was time for them to go the fuck home.</p>"
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at a fascinating #Threads meetup hosted by Meta in San Francisco, with a handful of great #dataportability #fediverse #indieweb #openweb folks, learning about and providing feedback to Threads folks about their #federation #ActivityPub and other #openStandards support plans.
Chatham House rule¹ means we can quote and talk about what’s being discussed (I’m taking notes), however no attribution, which I’m extending to not saying (or @-@-mentioning) who else is here.
If you’re also here, feel free to reply to this post or use one of the below hashtags. And since I’m publishing this, feel free to @-me as well.
#DataDialogue #Threadiverse (unofficial hashtag suggestion from a participant)
¹ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chatham_House_rule
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Want to read: Doppelganger: A Trip into the Mirror World by Naomi Klein (ISBN 9780374610326)
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"html": "<p>m pleased to announce that Erin Kissane and I will be running a project called Fediverse Governance Successes & Gaps, generously funded by the Ford Digital Infrastructure Insights Fund (DIIF). (<a href=\"https://tinysubversions.com/notes/ford-diif-grant/\">full item here</a>)</p>",
"text": "m pleased to announce that Erin Kissane and I will be running a project called Fediverse Governance Successes & Gaps, generously funded by the Ford Digital Infrastructure Insights Fund (DIIF). (full item here)"
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"url": "https://beesbuzz.biz/blog/10882-Music-keyboard-change-Casio-PX-S1100",
"name": "Music keyboard upgrade downgrade change: Casio PX-S1100",
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RSVP interested to Author Meets BookTok: Sim Kern and Rashid Khalidi on “The Hundred Years’ War on Palestine”
I want to attend, but it’s early Pacific time so might not make it. It says it will be recorded, though, so hopefully available afterwards.
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"text": "RSVP interested to Author Meets BookTok: Sim Kern and Rashid Khalidi on \u201cThe Hundred Years\u2019 War on Palestine\u201d\n\nI want to attend, but it\u2019s early Pacific time so might not make it. It says it will be recorded, though, so hopefully available afterwards.",
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@fromjason@mastodon.social Hi, yes, hello, the line “the web that screamed in horror when summoned through a land line” in the footer of your site is fantastic.
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"text": "@fromjason@mastodon.social Hi, yes, hello, the line \u201cthe web that screamed in horror when summoned through a land line\u201d in the footer of your site is fantastic.",
"html": "<p><a href=\"https://mastodon.social/@fromjason\">@fromjason@mastodon.social</a> Hi, yes, hello, the line \u201cthe web that screamed in horror when summoned through a land line\u201d in the footer of your site is fantastic.</p>"
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I don’t post about it often, but I maintain indiebookclub, an app to help track books you’re reading on your own website. I just set up a new feature for it, a year in review page: indiebookclub.biz/review/2023
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"text": "I don\u2019t post about it often, but I maintain indiebookclub, an app to help track books you\u2019re reading on your own website. I just set up a new feature for it, a year in review page: indiebookclub.biz/review/2023",
"html": "<p>I don\u2019t post about it often, but I maintain indiebookclub, an app to help track books you\u2019re reading on your own website. I just set up a new feature for it, a year in review page: <a href=\"https://indiebookclub.biz/review/2023\">indiebookclub.biz/review/2023</a></p>"
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{
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"published": "2023-12-01T23:01:37-08:00",
"url": "https://beesbuzz.biz/blog/10864-Music-stuff-for-sale",
"name": "Music stuff for sale",
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I took the high speed train from Miami to Orlando and I am convinced we need more of this! https://aaronparecki.com/2023/12/01/18/riding-brightline-train-miami-orlando
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"text": "I took the high speed train from Miami to Orlando and I am convinced we need more of this! https://aaronparecki.com/2023/12/01/18/riding-brightline-train-miami-orlando",
"html": "I took the high speed train from Miami to Orlando and I am convinced we need more of this! <a href=\"https://aaronparecki.com/2023/12/01/18/riding-brightline-train-miami-orlando\"><span>https://</span>aaronparecki.com/2023/12/01/18/riding-brightline-train-miami-orlando</a>"
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It was 11am at the Fort Lauderdale airport, an hour after my non-stop flight to Portland was supposed to have boarded. As I had been watching our estimated departure get pushed back in 15 minute increments, I finally received the dreaded news over the loudspeaker - the flight was cancelled entirely. As hordes of people started lining up to rebook their flights with the gate agent, I found a quiet spot in the corner and opened up my laptop to look at my options.
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"summary": "It was 11am at the Fort Lauderdale airport, an hour after my non-stop flight to Portland was supposed to have boarded. As I had been watching our estimated departure get pushed back in 15 minute increments, I finally received the dreaded news over the loudspeaker - the flight was cancelled entirely. As hordes of people started lining up to rebook their flights with the gate agent, I found a quiet spot in the corner and opened up my laptop to look at my options.",
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{
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"url": "https://beesbuzz.biz/blog/12351-Solar-power-Howd-I-do",
"name": "Solar power: How\u2019d I do?",
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Marching band but make it techno: youtube.com/watch?v=dlFrI8_Orys
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"text": "Marching band but make it techno: youtube.com/watch?v=dlFrI8_Orys",
"html": "<p>Marching band but make it techno: <a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dlFrI8_Orys\">youtube.com/watch?v=dlFrI8_Orys</a></p>"
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Official Orlando departure announcement from the captain:
"The forecast in Portland is about the same as here except it's cold and windy and rainy"
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"text": "Official Orlando departure announcement from the captain: \n\n\"The forecast in Portland is about the same as here except it's cold and windy and rainy\"",
"html": "Official Orlando departure announcement from the captain: <br /><br />\"The forecast in Portland is about the same as here except it's cold and windy and rainy\""
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"url": "https://beesbuzz.biz/blog/13965-Final-Bandcamp-Friday-of-2023",
"name": "Final Bandcamp Friday of 2023!",
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welp, managed to go a whole year without a major airline snafu until my last work trip of the year. Flight from Miami to Portland was cancelled, and all the other options from Miami were bad. So I'm taking the Brightline train to Orlando and getting on a direct flight to Portland tonight!
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"content": {
"text": "welp, managed to go a whole year without a major airline snafu until my last work trip of the year. Flight from Miami to Portland was cancelled, and all the other options from Miami were bad. So I'm taking the Brightline train to Orlando and getting on a direct flight to Portland tonight!"
},
"author": {
"type": "card",
"name": "Aaron Parecki",
"url": "https://aaronparecki.com/",
"photo": "https://aperture-media.p3k.io/aaronparecki.com/41061f9de825966faa22e9c42830e1d4a614a321213b4575b9488aa93f89817a.jpg"
},
"post-type": "note",
"_id": "39603433",
"_source": "16"
}
{
"type": "entry",
"published": "2023-12-01T07:53:56-08:00",
"url": "https://nadreck.me/2023/12/the-internet-is-worse-than-ever/",
"category": [
"social-computing",
"videos",
"kurzgesagt",
"social-media",
"video"
],
"name": "The Internet is Worse Than Ever",
"content": {
"text": "If you\u2019re not familiar with Kurzgesagt, they\u2019re a Youtube channel that does well researched, informative videos about a broad range of topics. In this case, it\u2019s about the impact of social media on society, and clarifies some information about social filter bubbles and social sorting.\n\n\n\nI suppose it\u2019s unsurprising to say that I agree with their thoughts on how to improve the situation \u2013 move out of the \u201cdigital town square\u201d and get back to smaller communities. It\u2019s healthier for society, it\u2019s healthier for you. This also all puts me in mind of a recent article in Garbage Day, which was discussing that the internet has actually gotten smaller, with a subset of creators making an outsized portion of the content you see day-to-day. In short, social consolidation leads to a reversion to the same sort of \u201cbroadcasting\u201d mentality of older media. Social media serves as a channel for this sort of broadcasted content, and if you want to get back to a broader, weirder, more diverse range of content, the answer is to get back to a broader, weirder, more diverse range of online communities.\n\n\n\nThat\u2019s a trade-off, economically speaking: if you make it big in a centralized outlet, you stand to make a lot of money \u2013 smaller communities inherently have less money to offer. But, that presumes you\u2019ll manage to rise to the top of the creator heap \u2013 it\u2019s far more likely that you\u2019ll fall somewhere in the long tail of a pareto distribution. In a more distributed, fractured internet, the peak is lower, but you have more opportunity to get a slice of that sum, so you might actually end up making about the same (or more). It\u2019s hard to say.\n\n\n\nThat\u2019s a bit of a digression, though. Go watch the video, it\u2019s only ~11 minutes long, and let me know what you think.",
"html": "<span style=\"text-align:center;\"></span>\n<p>If you\u2019re not familiar with Kurzgesagt, they\u2019re a Youtube channel that does well researched, informative videos about a broad range of topics. In this case, it\u2019s about the impact of social media on society, and clarifies some information about social filter bubbles and social sorting.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>I suppose it\u2019s unsurprising to say that I agree with their thoughts on how to improve the situation \u2013 move out of the \u201cdigital town square\u201d and get back to smaller communities. It\u2019s healthier for society, it\u2019s healthier for you. This also all puts me in mind of a <a href=\"https://www.garbageday.email/p/selling-your-filter-bubble-back-to\">recent article in Garbage Day</a>, which was discussing that the internet has actually gotten smaller, with a subset of creators making an outsized portion of the content you see day-to-day. In short, social consolidation leads to a reversion to the same sort of \u201cbroadcasting\u201d mentality of older media. Social media serves as a channel for this sort of broadcasted content, and if you want to get back to a broader, weirder, more diverse range of content, the answer is to get back to a broader, weirder, more diverse range of online communities.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s a trade-off, economically speaking: if you make it big in a centralized outlet, you stand to make a lot of money \u2013 smaller communities inherently have less money to offer. <em>But</em>, that presumes you\u2019ll manage to rise to the top of the creator heap \u2013 it\u2019s far more likely that you\u2019ll fall somewhere in the long tail of a pareto distribution. In a more distributed, fractured internet, the peak is lower, but you have more opportunity to get a slice of that sum, so you might actually end up making about the same (or more). It\u2019s hard to say.</p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s a bit of a digression, though. Go watch the video, it\u2019s only ~11 minutes long, and let me know what you think.</p>"
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"author": {
"type": "card",
"name": "Nadreck",
"url": "http://nadreck.me",
"photo": null
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Alright, Geico is frustrating me to no end. They 110% do not let you get to talk to a human on the phone and their site doesn't tell me anything about my pending auto policy. Anyone have better auto insurance recommendations for California?
{
"type": "entry",
"published": "2023-11-30 12:31-0800",
"url": "https://gregorlove.com/2023/11/alright-geico-is-frustrating/",
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"text": "Alright, Geico is frustrating me to no end. They 110% do not let you get to talk to a human on the phone and their site doesn't tell me anything about my pending auto policy. Anyone have better auto insurance recommendations for California?",
"html": "<p>Alright, Geico is frustrating me to no end. They 110% do not let you get to talk to a human on the phone and their site doesn't tell me anything about my pending auto policy. Anyone have better auto insurance recommendations for California?</p>"
},
"author": {
"type": "card",
"name": "gRegor Morrill",
"url": "https://gregorlove.com/",
"photo": "https://gregorlove.com/site/assets/files/6268/profile-2021-square.300x0.jpg"
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"post-type": "note",
"_id": "39597867",
"_source": "95"
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{
"type": "entry",
"published": "2023-11-30T15:14:13-05:00",
"url": "https://aaronparecki.com/2023/11/30/10/",
"photo": [
"https://aperture-media.p3k.io/aaronparecki.com/9f6f0e70a19267fd9f296c757ac25c68ae1dd00c520ec911763387e3cd897b07.jpg"
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"syndication": [
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],
"name": "at Mack's Fish Camp",
"author": {
"type": "card",
"name": "Aaron Parecki",
"url": "https://aaronparecki.com/",
"photo": "https://aperture-media.p3k.io/aaronparecki.com/41061f9de825966faa22e9c42830e1d4a614a321213b4575b9488aa93f89817a.jpg"
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